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Thread: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

  1. #1
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    Default How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Hello!

    Here is a little question for you: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?
    Try to make your best guess.
    To make it easier for you: How many millions was it?
    For our American friends: A million is 1.000.000 , i.e. 6 zeros.

    And remember: NO Googling!

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    100.000.000 ?

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Well, since about 18 million men served in the Wehrmacht (not at the same time of course) I'd guess the number is even higher...
    "I just ran out of ammo. I will ram this one. Good bye, we'll meet in Valhalla." - Major Heinrich Ehrler, April 4, 1945

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Guys, wwaaaaaaaaaaay off!
    Common! How many millions was it?
    Do not be shy and low on numbers.

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Applying 18 million people to an assumed average of three years' service (allowing for deaths and late enlistments) = nominal 54m man years.

    Assume each service person has three people on average writing to them and replies to each letter = (54m x 3 = 162m) x 2 = 324m.

    Assume letters are exchanged on average monthly = 324m x 12 = 3.9 billion; fortnightly = 324 x 26 = 8.5 billion; weekly = 16.9 billion.

    Letters to front line units will be rarer than to rear and occupation troops. Some men well have fewer and some more than an average number of letters, replies and correspondents. Also there will be letters as part of morale campaigns. So, I'd say anywhere between about 5 and 30 billion items is possible, but I'd guess around 15 billion.
    Last edited by Rising Sun*; 08-01-2008 at 02:24 AM.

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Quote Originally Posted by Rising Sun* View Post
    Applying 18 million people to an assumed average of three years' service (allowing for deaths and late enlistments) = nominal 54m man years.

    Assume each service person has three people on average writing to them and replies to each letter = (54m x 3 = 162m) x 2 = 324m.

    Assume letters are exchanged on average monthly = 324m x 12 = 3.9 billion; fortnightly = 324 x 26 = 8.5 billion; weekly = 16.9 billion.

    Letters to front line units will be rarer than to rear and occupation troops. Some men well have fewer and some more than an average number of letters, replies and correspondents. Also there will be letters as part of morale campaigns. So, I'd say anywhere between about 5 and 30 billion items is possible, but I'd guess around 15 billion.
    I'm almost with you, just require the standard deviation?


    "Although God cannot alter the past, Historians can"


    Samuel Butler


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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Quote Originally Posted by 32Bravo View Post
    I'm almost with you, just require the standard deviation?
    The standard deviation in my experience is that all jobs take three times as long as estimated and cost two to five times as much as budgeted, except for US military aeroplane projects which are elebenty leben times more of everything, except for delivery time which can be estimated fairly accurately by substituting a decade for each year in the original contract.

    On that basis, the Germans probably handled a squillion items.

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Quote Originally Posted by Rising Sun* View Post
    On that basis, the Germans probably handled a squillion items.
    Spot on!


    "Although God cannot alter the past, Historians can"


    Samuel Butler


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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    30 billion... Hopefully this is not a trick question ;-D


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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    50.000.000.000
    There is only one good, which is knowledge, and one evil, which is ignorance.

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Quote Originally Posted by Sergej View Post
    50.000.000.000
    Damn.. now i do realize why they felt shortage of everything since 1943
    The thousand tonns of papers were spend on letters ONLY.
    And if to count how many tonns they have spend for propogandic leaflets

    "I decide who is a Jew and who is an Aryan "- Hermann Goering

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Quote Originally Posted by Sergej View Post
    50.000.000.000
    Why?

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Quote Originally Posted by alephh View Post
    30 billion... Hopefully this is not a trick question ;-D
    No it is not a trick question...
    Nice number by the way... not entierly correct, but nice nonetheless.

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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    Quote Originally Posted by Egorka View Post
    Hello!

    Here is a little question for you: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?
    Try to make your best guess.
    To make it easier for you: How many millions was it?
    For our American friends: A million is 1.000.000 , i.e. 6 zeros.

    And remember: NO Googling!
    Befoe we proceed any further I have one or two questions, Igor.

    1. Are we including parcels?

    2. When you say 'sent' do the numbers include those that disappeared, or is it simply those that were stamped with the field post stamp?

    3. Do the numbers include those which were not delivered and returned to sender (which might have received a second stamp), and may not have reahed the sender?

    4. Is the unit of measure in tons/tonnes, sacks, letters, postal items etc?

    5. At which point were the measurements taken e.g. at a central fieldpost office, point of collection, point of delivery etc?

    6. By fieldpost are we excluding non-military i.e. civillian traffic?

    Please help, Igor, I'm not able to sleep! My head is churning with figures, I'm braking out in bedsweats, and the very thought of factoring in for exponential smoothing is simply orgasmic!
    Last edited by 32Bravo; 08-02-2008 at 03:47 AM.


    "Although God cannot alter the past, Historians can"


    Samuel Butler


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    Default Re: How many letters had been sent by German fieldpost during WWII?

    32Bravo!

    Do not be difficult on me! I have no idea about those issues.
    I asked about letter sent back and fourth by the German field post service.
    All those question you asked made me sad... very sad... my heart submerged in sorrow...
    So sad in fact - I do not know when I will be able to feel orgasmatic in the nearest future...

    Any how, the answer is...
    is...
    40.000.000.000
    that is fourty billion letters. Approximately, of course.

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